
Portfolio Manager & Wealth Advisor
March 21, 2026
The correction we're experiencing isn't surprising. It was arguably overdue. Here's why:
Elevated US equity valuations had stretched well beyond historical averages, pricing in an optimistic outlook that left little room for disappointment. Combined with the natural volatility that accompanies US mid-term election years, the conditions for a pullback were in place.
Our positioning reflected this reality. Since late 2025, we've maintained an underweight position in equities and an overweight allocation to fixed income. This was a deliberate, defensive posture designed to protect capital during uncertain periods like this one.
Recent geopolitical tensions, particularly the Iran conflict, have added a layer of uncertainty. Energy price pressures could sustain this correction for several weeks to months and potentially reignite inflation concerns.
However, historical precedent shows geopolitical shocks typically resolve within 3–6 months:
Event | Market Decline | Recovery Time |
1990 Gulf War | ~20% decline | 4–5 months |
2001 9/11 Attacks | ~14% decline | 5–7 months |
2003 Iraq Invasion | ~18% decline | 3–4 months |
2011 Libyan Crisis | ~19% decline | 2–3 months |
Markets are forward-looking. Once uncertainty resolves, investors refocus on underlying economic fundamentals, which haven't changed as dramatically as headlines suggest.
Rather than retreating, we're using this moment of uncertainty to our advantage. We're beginning to add to equity exposure and strategically rebalancing into stocks at more attractive valuations than we saw months ago.
This is exactly what disciplined investing looks like:
Staying invested through volatility is one of the most powerful predictors of long-term wealth creation.
If you're feeling uneasy about your portfolio, that's normal. But remember:
✓ Market corrections are temporary; your investment horizon is longer
✓ Historical data shows corrections typically resolve within 4–7 months
✓ Geopolitical events have not derailed long-term market growth
✓ Volatility creates the best entry points for new capital
✓ Diversified, disciplined portfolios are designed to weather these periods
✓ Selling during downturns locks in losses; staying invested gives you the chance to recover and profit
The best investment decision you can make right now is to do nothing and let your strategy work.
Market volatility isn't a reason to panic. It's a reason to remember why you invested in the first place. Every previous correction, no matter how frightening, has been followed by recovery and growth.
We're here to navigate these cycles with you, turning uncertainty into opportunity and ensuring your long-term goals remain on track.
Questions about your portfolio or our positioning? We're here to help at aleem.team@rbc.com.